1st dec trades

Cash:
( This week will be busy with personal work, so may not post. After 10th dec will be regular. )

( Yesterday hope u guys enjoyed, only one of five close 1% down, rest got 5-15% gains )

Buy Uflex for short term

Buy force motors for short term

Buy vasconn eng tgt 50

buy ruby mill tgt 250-300

Fno

Buy upl at 420 stop 414 tgt 438-460  ( Buy 440ce )

Buy yes bank 750 pe upto futures price of 795 ( buy on rises of fut price, 750pe ) stop close above 795. Futures short around 775.

Short tvs if comes to around 315 stop 321 ( can start buying 300 pe )

( Rexnord electronics &  Tamboli cap under research for long term )

Trades for 29 Nov

( This week I may get very busy )

Cash:


Buy Om metals at 52.5  tgt 56-60-65 stop 49

Buy Radico khaitan at 114 tgt 124-135-160 stop 110

Buy Arrow coated tgt 770 stop 575

genus power tgt 48-55 stop 39

buy ester for short term.

( Look at ambica cotton welscorp for breakout this week )
( charts will published upon request )


Futures and options:

Look to short asian paints between 780-790. ( cmp 770 ) Stop if closes above 790 on daily. Buy 770pe upto 790.

Buy Bhel Around 171-175 stop close below 170 on daily. Buy 180ce. ( positional )

Buy hpcl 840ce

Close to 830, buy hul 820pe, stop if close above 835 ( startooking hul 800ce, given at 790 )

Cash + Fno 24 November

Cash Trades:

( Bsl closed 5% upper circuit from yesterdays recommendation, Gee Cee Ventures closed 17% up )

Buy Makers labs above 91 Stop 85 Target 104-112-121.

Buy Kwality at 99 Stop 92 Target 106-115-130.

Buy nectar life above 53.

watch out for precision wires and mirza international from yesterday recommendation.



Futures Trades:

Futures will update in the morning properly but what the levels for price action.

Buy Siemens at  1238 Tgt 1260 stop 1231 - Stop hit

Short havels around 295 stop 301 ( risky, watch price action )

Buy Siemens again with tight stop at 1207 stop 1201 ( double bottom 60 min chart ) - Tgt 1 met 1218.


Options

( If hul falls can reverse around 789  At these levels buy 800ce dec )

( ashok can be shorted around 97 stop 98 target 94-90-86. At these levels buy 90 pe dec )



25th
( out today )
Cash:
 Buy jubilant industries for short term. tgt 470.

Buy Minda industries for short term.

Look for entries in logistics stocks: > Patel intergrated log ( technically looking strong ), Gati

Cash and futures trades for 23 Nov 2015

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Long term multibaggers picks blog:  http://valuefundamentalinvestor.blogspot.in/

FOR MONDAY’S INTRADAY TRADING PURPOSE AFTER THE INITIAL 30 MINUTES OF CONFUSING & DECEPTIVE MOVEMENTS, IN CASE NIFTY FUTURES  IF AFTER GOING HIGHER UP & THEN SLIDING TO BREACH AND MORE IMPORTANTLY SUSTAIN BELOW 7848 THEN IT MAY TURN WEAK BUT ACTUAL WEAKNESS MAY BE SEEN ON BREACH OF 7822 TO 7818 FUTURE ZONE IN WHICH CASE ONE CAN SEE GOOD SHORTING PLAY FOR LOWER LEVELS OF 7795 TO 7788 & 7780 FOLLOWED BY EVEN 7750 FUTURE LEVELS.

SIMILARLY ON THE HIGHER SIDE, NIFTY FUTURES MAY SHOW STRENGTH IF AFTER A DECEPTIVE FALL IT RISES OR AFTER INITIAL CONFUSING MOVE IT RISES  TO BREACH & SUSTAIN ABOVE 7890 TO 7900. A BREACH OF 7909 CAN TRIGGER STOP LOSSES OF INTRADAY TRADERS TOWARDS HIGHER LEVELS OF FRIDAY’S HIGHS AROUND 7920 TO 7930 FUTURE ZONE OR EVEN HIGHER LEVELS.

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Futures:

Short bpcl at 921 stop if sustains above 926 for 10-15 mins tgt 906, 885 Buy 2x above 926, tgt 965. 

Buy Auro pharma above 840 tgt 851 stop 830 ( 850 met )

Buy Adani ports avove 273, tgt 277-281-290 stop 269 ( tgt 1 met, trail )

Short petronet 225. Stop above 226  ( tgt 1 met 222 also stop hit later )

FNO 15 Nov

Futures

Buy Apollo tyres 153 Stop below 149 on dialy close. Tgts 160-175-200. Chart below

Buy Mcleod above 169 Stop 168 ( must close below 168 on daily candle ). Tgt 175-181-190.

Gail Btst above 290. Tgt 297-305 Stop 287 ( Possibly 340+ within next 2 weeks if markets running up )

GENERAL MARKET ANALYSIS FOR DIWALI WEEK ENDING 13TH NOVEMBER & MARKETS FOR MONDAY 9TH NOVEMBER

N FRIDAY 6TH  NOVEMBER, NIFTY SPOT HAD A WEEKLY CLOSE AT 7954 MUCH MUCH BELOW THE WEEKLY LOWS OF ITS PREVIOUS  FOUR WEEKS. THE LOW OF WEEKENDING 9TH OCTOBER WAS AROUND 8005 SPOT & LAST WEEKS CLOSE NEAR 7954 SPOT SIGNALS FURTHER DANGER FOR THE BULLS. THE ONLY RAY OF HOPE LEFT WITH THE BULLS IS THAT ON FRIDAY THE WEEKLY LOW AROUND 7926 SPOT WAS JUST ON THE WEEKLY SUPPORT LINE JOINING THE WEEKLY LOWS OF WEEKENDING 13TH SEPTEMBER AT 7540 & WEEKLY LOWS OF WEEKENDING 1ST OCTOBER AT 7691.

AT THE BEST ONE CAN EXPECT A BOUNCE DURING THE TRUNCATED DIWALI WEEK WITH TRADING HOLIDAYS ON 11TH & 12TH NOVEMBER . SEASONED TRADERS WILL MAKE BEST USE OF THIS DEAD CAT BOUNCE IF AT ALL IT COMES, TO ADD TO THEIR HEFTY SORT POSITIONS IN FUTURES & BUY MORE OF PUTS TO SEE FURTHER FALLS AFTER THE TRUNCATED DIWALI WEEK IS OVER. A DECISIVE BREACH & CLOSE FOR A DAY OR TWO ABOVE SPOT NIFTY LEVEL OF 8118 CAN SHIFT THE BIAS TOWARDS SOME MORE HIGHER LEVELS. AS LONG AS SPOT NIFTY REMAINS BELOW OCTOBER MONTH SWING HIGH OF 8338, EVERY RISE FOR A DAY OR TWO IS A SHORTING OPPORTUNITY.

THE DEADLY WEEKLY BEARISH ENGULFING CANDLE OF WEEKENDING 30TH OCTOBER & THEN   IN THE DAILY CHARTS, THE BEARISH ENGULFING OF WEDNESDAY 4TH NOVEMBER THREATENS FURTHER FALLS ONCE THE SUPPORT LINE AROUND FRIDAY’S LOWS OF 7926 IS DECISIVELY BREACHED ON A CLOSING BASIS. HOWEVER BEFORE THAT HAPPENS ONE MAY EXPECT A DEAD CAT BOUNCE DURING THE TRUNCATED DIWALI WEEK ENDING 13TH NOVEMBER.(BULLS MUST BE PRAYING FOR A NDA VICTORY IN BIHAR ELECTION TO BE ANNOUNCED ON SUNDAY 8TH NOVEMBER)

THE DAILY CANDLE OF FRIDAY 6TH NOVEMBER WAS A PERFECT DOJI AROUND THE SUPPORT LINE AND ALSO ON THE 50% RETRACEMENT LEVELS  AROUND 7939 COUNTED FROM THE LOW OF 7540 & OCTOBER SWING HIGH OF 8338 WHICH MAY SEE SOME RISE SHOULD BJP WIN THE BIHAR ELECTIONS. IF BJP LOSES BIHAR ELECTIONS THEN EXPECT A GAP DOWN OPENING ON MONDAY  BELOW THIS SUPPORT LINE  FOR LOWER LEVELS TO TEST THE  FIBS 61.8% RETRACEMENT LEVEL OF 7844 SPOT AND THIS SUPPORT LINE AROUND 7950 SPOT BECOMING A RESISTANCE LINE TO DEFLECT EVERY RETRACEMENT RISE .

 50 DAY SMA AROUND 7990 TO 800 SPOT LEVELS WILL ADD ITS QUOTA OF MISERY FOR THE DEPLETED BULLS WHO ALWAYS WILL BE LOOKING HEAVENWARDS TO PRAY FOR DOW OPERATORS  OR SGX NIFTY MANIPULATORS TO LIFT NIFTY HEAVENWARDS AT LEAST FOR THIS AUSPICIOUS DIWALI WEEK SHOULD NDA LOSE THE BIHAR ELECTIONS. A DECISIVE CLOSE BELOW FRIDAY 6TH  NOVEMBER PERFECT DOJI LOW OF 7926 SPOT  WILL STRAIGHT AIM FOR 61.8% LEVEL OF 7844  FOLLOWED BY 29TH SEPTEMBER SWING LOW OF 7691 TOWARDS MUCH BIGGER FALLS MUCH BELOW 8TH SEPTEMBER SWING LOW OF 7540 BEFORE END OF THIS YEAR. HOWEVER A DECISIVE CLOSE ABOVE 6TH NOVEMBER DOJI HIGH OF 8003 SPOT WILL GENERATE A FALSE HOPE THAT THE SUPPORT LINE IS HELD BY NIFTY  & NIFTY WILL RISE  FURTHER BYPASSING THE 50 DAY SMA AROUND 8000 LEVELS TO AIM AT LEAST FOR THE NEAREST 4TH NOVEMBER MINIATURE SWING HIGH OF 8118 SPOT.

WITH THE 8 YEAR BEAR MARKET CYCLE STARTING FROM EARLY 2016, 80% OF THE QUARTERLY RESULTS BEING BELOW EXPECTATION, FED HINTING AT STARTING THE RATE HIKE SUGGEST ONE TO USE EVERY RISE TO LIQUIDATE THE INVESTMENT POSITION IN EQUITIES & ALL EQUITY LINKED SAVING SCHEMES. AT THIS MOMENT INVESTMENT IN LAND, GOLD & EVEN FD WILL GIVE  BETTER  INCOME THAN EQUITIES OR ITS ASSOCIATED SAVING SCHEMES.  NDA  LOSING BIHAR ELECTIONS WILL ACCELERATE THE FALL  IN NIFTY & IN CASE NDA WINS BIHAR ELECTIONS THEN THE  FALL IN STOCK MARKETS MAY BE DELAYED TILL END OF DIWALI WEEK TO RESUME THE FALL FROM NEXT WEEK STARTING FROM 16TH NOVEMBER.

DURING LAST 10 TRADING DAYS FROM 26TH OCTOBER CRITICAL SWING HIGH OF 8338, NIFTY HAS FORMED  NINE RED CANDLE DAYS & ONLY ONE MISERABLY SHAPED 7TH NRB GREEN DOJI CANDLE OF 27TH OCTOBER. THESE ARE STRONG BEARISH SIGNALS BUT IT ALSO CLEARS THE PATH FOR SOME RETRACEMENT RISE BEFORE ANOTHER BIG SLIDE. MAY BE NDA WINNING THE BIHAR ELECTIONS ON SUNDAY 8TH NOVEMBER COULD TRIGGER THE ANTICIPATED RISE FOR THE DIWALI WEEK ENDING 13TH NOVEMBER.

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Cash positional trades: 

Look for opportunities to buy on morepen labs and trigyn tech, Once can target 10-20%+ this week

Stock futures:

Short Sun pharma on every rise ( approaching neck line on weekly head and shoulder pattern )

MARKETS FOR WEDNESDAY 4TH NOVEMBER

NIFTY TOOK A BREATHER ON TUESDAY BY CLOSING POSITIVE AFTER SIX CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF FALLS. IF ONE  ANALYSES THE VOLUME  OF TUESDAY FOR NIFTY FUTURES, ONE WILL BE SURPRISED TO NOTE THAT IN THE 15 MINUTE INTRADAY CHARTS THE VOLUME BARS OF RED CANDLES WERE MUCH BIGGER THAN THE VOLUME BARS OF THE GREEN CANDLES SUGGESTING THAT THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NO STEAM IN THE MARKETS TO TAKE IT UP & IT MOVES EITHER BY SHORT COVERING OR THROUGH OPERATORS ACTION.

ON TUESDAY, NIFTY FUTURES MADE A HIGH OF 8129 IN THE FIRST 20 MINUTES AND CONTINUOUSLY FELL THERE AFTER TILL 1.40 PM, AFTER WHICH DUE TO PROFIT BOOKING BY THE SHORTERS NIFTY WENT UP TILL 8108 WITH VERY LOW VOLUME TO AGAIN FALL WITH HEAVY VOLUME TO CLOSE NEAR 8075 ALTHOUGH 30 MINUTE AVERAGING CLOSE SHOWS 8087 FUTURE LEVELS. 8130 IS THE CRITICAL 34 DAYS EMA FROM WHERE NIFTY FUTURES FELL ON TUESDAY.

NIFTY IS STILL WEAK AND PROMPTS TRADERS TO TRADE SHORT & BUY 8300 PUTS ON EVERY INTRADAY RISE TOWARDS PREVIOUS DAYS HIGHS. FOR INTRADAY TRADING ON WEDNESDAY, EXPECT AN ATTEMPT TO BE MADE BY OPERATORS TO LIFT NIFTY FUTURES TOWARDS TUESDAY’S HIGHS OF 8130. EITHER SGX NIFTY WILL BE SUITABLY MANIPULATED LIKE TUESDAY TO GIVE A GAP UP OR DOW FUTURES WILL BE SUITABLY MANIPULATED  AFTER  THE INITIAL SESSION TO LIFT NIFTY FUTURES.

A FAILURE TO BREACH AND MORE IMPORTANTLY TO CLOSE A 30 MINUTE CANDLE ABOVE 8108 FUTURE LEVELS WILL SEE EMERGENCE OF VOLLEY OF SHORTS AND A SLIDE BELOW 8088 AFTER THE INITIAL RISE CAN SEE BIGGER FALLS TOWARDS 8066 BELOW WHICH ONE MAY EVEN SEE LOWER LEVELS OF 8050 TO 8045 ZONE. STAYING BELOW 8044 CAN SEE FURTHER SLIDE TOWARDS 8030 OR EVEN TOWARDS MONDAY’S LOWS OF 8022 FOLLOWED BY 8010 FUTURE LEVELS.

ON THE HIGHER SIDE A RISE TO STAY & CLOSE A CANDLE   ABOVE 8108 FUTURE LEVELS CAN TAKE IT TOWARDS TUESDAYS HIGHS OF 8130 SUSTAINING ABOVE WHICH HIGHER LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED. EXPECT AN OPERATOR DRIVEN LOW VOLUME RISE ON WEDNESDAY ALSO WHICH SHOULD BE USED TO SELL FUTURES & BUY 8300 PUTS.


Cash Calls and fno will be updated by tonight or tomorrow morning.

MARKETS FOR TUESDAY 3RD NOVEMBER

NIFTY FUTURE SHOWED A REMARKABLE LAST HOUR RISE FROM THE LOW OF 8022 TILL A HIGH OF 8088. PERHAPS AFTER 5 DAYS OF FALLS THIS TYPE OF BOUNCE WAS EXPECTED AND THE LOW VOLUME SHORT COVERING RISE MAY SPILL OVER TO TUESDAY ALSO. NIFTY IS WEAK AND TILL SUCH TIME IT CONTINUES TO STAY BELOW 8181 FUTURE LEVELS, EVERY ATTEMPT TO RISE SHOULD BE USED TO SHORT FUTURES AND BUY 8300 , 8200 & 8100 PUTS. FOR TUESDAY’S INTRADAY TRADING, NIFTY FUTURE FAILING TO BREACH & SUSTAIN ABOVE 8106 TO 8116 ZONE  SHOULD BE TRADED SHORT & MORE SHORTS BE ADDED IN CASE THE FUTURE AFTER THE RISE FALLS & BREACHES TO STAY BELOW 8055.

80% OF THE QUARTERLY RESULTS  ARE BELOW EXPECTATION AND THESE ARE CLEAR INDICATIONS OF THE MEGA FALLS TO START FROM 2016 AS PER THE 8 YEAR BEAR MARKET CYCLE AS HAD BEEN MENTIONED IN THE WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR WEEK ENDING 30 OCTOBER BELOW. USE RETRACEMENT RISE TO OFFLOAD THE LONG HOLDINGS TILL DECEMBER AND BETTER TO QUIT ALL EQUITY LINKED SAVING SCHEMES BEFORE THE UNSET OF THE BEAR CYCLE IN EARLY 2016.


Cash Trades: 

Buy Zf Steering Above 1422 Target: 1499-1600-1850 Stop 1355

Buy Mic Electronics and Ansal buildwell on open. Target 5-15% short term.  No stops

Futures: 

Short SKS Micro between 455-560 Stop 461 Target 445.